Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 1.231738 1.510671 1.874992 2.403711 3.185646 4.364929 6.435385
2025-11-02 0.885101 1.189331 1.651195 2.467241 4.053795 7.601507 19.648808
2025-11-09 0.723532 1.029870 1.543593 2.591991 5.161537 13.911512 111.114821
2025-11-16 0.608739 0.898672 1.417605 2.589660 6.040617 23.983857 26238.561632
2025-11-23 0.520161 0.786192 1.283235 2.487620 6.564245 38.420987 NaN
2025-11-30 0.473809 0.735835 1.250744 2.611167 8.169677 101.215003 NaN
2025-12-07 0.429225 0.679267 1.188471 2.622540 9.451600 322.808255 NaN
2025-12-14 0.387737 0.621330 1.108581 2.542986 10.203538 1486.354932 NaN
2025-12-21 0.356258 0.577952 1.051534 2.510139 11.338954 NaN NaN
2025-12-28 0.343834 0.570117 1.074718 2.765964 16.060100 NaN NaN
2026-01-04 0.326957 0.550548 1.064725 2.900526 20.960261 NaN NaN
2026-01-11 0.306577 0.520946 1.023051 2.886767 24.263014 NaN NaN
2026-01-18 0.284593 0.486086 0.962989 2.773484 25.619826 NaN NaN
2026-01-25 0.271047 0.468023 0.944756 2.845615 32.964873 NaN NaN
2026-02-01 0.261125 0.456661 0.942521 2.998927 47.996303 NaN NaN
2026-02-08 0.248035 0.436788 0.912641 2.995881 59.343547 NaN NaN
2026-02-15 0.233301 0.411857 0.864338 2.869628 61.817816 NaN NaN
2026-02-22 0.226398 0.404049 0.864710 3.022527 100.841081 NaN NaN
2026-03-01 0.217069 0.389751 0.843330 3.036640 137.743174 NaN NaN
2026-03-08 0.206337 0.371321 0.806776 2.938049 151.946176 NaN NaN
2026-03-15 0.197604 0.356926 0.780796 2.897436 190.472930 NaN NaN
2026-03-22 0.195730 0.358509 0.804832 3.215184 848.976951 NaN NaN
2026-03-29 0.191207 0.353317 0.806430 3.383618 7698.212666 NaN NaN